The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Naked Statistics: Stripping the Dread from the Data

How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking

The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy

Bayes' Theorem Examples: A Visual Introduction For Beginners

Thinking, Fast and Slow

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Incerto)

Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics

Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions

The Model Thinker: What You Need to Know to Make Data Work for You